Archived - Markets Update: 2015 Year in Review

Archived - Markets Update: 2015 Year in Review

2015 provided another example of how dynamic and rapidly changing our world is. Significant events included the highest job growth since 1999, two downgrades to the global economy, the Federal Reserve raising interest rates for the first time since 2006, Russia getting directly involved in the Syrian conflict, which pushed the immigrant crisis to levels not seen since WWII, and a dramatic rise and fall of the Chinese stock market. Despite all these events, 2015 provided quite unremarkable investment returns. US markets were slightly up, European markets slightly down, global real estate and global bonds slightly up and emerging markets down double digits. Volatility is back as markets try to digest the impact of these events and we expect that to continue through 2016.

 

Archived - Markets Update: Third Quarter 2015

Archived - Markets Update: Third Quarter 2015

Simply stated, the third quarter was quite volatile, especially for global equity markets. Equity indices were driven down significantly by concern about China and other emerging market economies while bonds and REITs managed to provide flat to slightly positive returns. As regular readers of this report know, it was only a matter of time before stocks experienced some form of a pullback given the run up in US markets and the various headwinds around the world.

 

Archived - Markets Update: Second Quarter 2015

Archived - Markets Update: Second Quarter 2015

In unfamiliar fashion, bonds ended the quarter in negative territory while stocks posted very modest gains. The period came to a close on a sour note with the dramatic re-escalation of the Greek crisis. In addition to the uncertainty surrounding Greece and the European Union (EU), a slowing China and the impending rate hike here in the US also made headlines. If history serves as any guide, these events should continue to be with us for the foreseeable future.

 

Archived - Markets Update: First Quarter 2015

Archived - Markets Update: First Quarter 2015

Returns were generally positive across markets in the first quarter and the strong performance in international markets was a nice change to see. The primary driver of performance at home and abroad continued to be the direct and indirect actions of central banks. The current degree of Federal Reserve watching and forecasting is reminiscent of the Alan Greenspan years when market participants attempted to guess policy decisions by studying the thickness of his briefcase prior to meetings.